Umbiko weWorld Trade Organisation on Global Trade Data and Outlook okhishwe yiNhlangano Yezohwebo Yomhlaba uthe ngenxa yokusimama okuqinile kokuhwebelana komhlaba ngekota yesithathu, ukusebenza okuphelele kokuhwebelana komhlaba kulo nyaka kuzoba ngcono kunalokho obekulindelwe phambilini.Kodwa-ke, osomnotho beNhlangano Yezohwebo Yezwe Lomhlaba baphinde bazisa ukuthi ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, amathuba okusimama kohwebo lomhlaba awakabi nethemba ngenxa yokungaqiniseki njengokuthuthuka kwalolu bhubhane esikhathini esizayo.Lokhu kuzoletha izinselelo ezintsha ekuthengisweni kwe-ceramic yaseShayina kwamanye amazwe.

Ukusebenza kwezohwebo bekungcono kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe

Umbiko othi “Global Trade Data and Outlook” ubonisa ukuthi ukuhwebelana emhlabeni wonke ngezimpahla kuzokwehla ngo-9.2% ngo-2020, futhi ukusebenza kohwebo lomhlaba kungase kube ngcono kunalokho obekulindelwe.I-WTO yabikezela ngo-Ephreli kulo nyaka ukuthi ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke kuzokwehla ngo-13% kuye ku-32% ngo-2020.

I-WTO yachaza ukuthi ukusebenza kahle kwezohwebo kulo nyaka bekungcono kunalokho obekulindelwe, ngokwengxenye kungenxa yokuqaliswa kwezinqubomgomo eziqinile zezimali nezezimali emazweni amaningi ukuze kusekelwe amaholo kazwelonke kanye nezinkampani, okuholele ekubuyeni kabusha ngokushesha esikalini sokusetshenziswa nokuthengiswa ngaphandle kwezwe ngemuva "ukuvula" kanye nokusheshisa ukubuyisela umsebenzi wezomnotho.

Idatha ibonisa ukuthi engxenyeni yesibili yalo nyaka, ukuhwebelana kwempahla emhlabeni jikelele kuye kwaba nokwehla komlando, nokwehla kwenyanga nenyanga ngo-14.3%.Kodwa-ke, kusukela ngoJuni kuya kuJulayi, ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke kusebenze kakhulu, kwakhulula isignali enhle yokuphuma phansi kanye nokukhulisa okulindelekile ekusebenzeni kokuhweba konyaka ogcwele.Izinga lohwebo lemikhiqizo ehlobene nobhubhane efana nempahla yezokwelapha likhule ngokumelene nethrendi, esehlise kancane umthelela wokuncipha ekuhwebeni kwezinye izimboni.Phakathi kwazo, imishini yokuzivikela yomuntu siqu yabhekana nokukhula "okuqhumayo" phakathi nalolu bhubhane, futhi izinga layo lokuhweba emhlabeni wonke lenyuke ngo-92% kwikota yesibili.

Isikhulu sezoMnotho se-WHO, uRobert Koopman, uthe yize ukwehla kokuhwebelana emhlabeni wonke kulo nyaka kuqhathaniswa nalokho okwenzeka ngo-2008-2009, uma kuqhathaniswa nobukhulu bokuguquguquka komkhiqizo wasekhaya ophelele (GDP) phakathi nalezi zingqinamba ezimbili, ukusebenza kwe-Global trade performance. iye yaqina kakhulu ngaphansi kwalolu bhubhane kulo nyaka.I-World Trade Organization ibikezela ukuthi i-GDP yomhlaba wonke izokwehla ngo-4.8% kulo nyaka, ngakho ukwehla kwezohwebo zomhlaba cishe kuphindwe kabili ukwehla kwe-GDP yomhlaba wonke, futhi ukuncipha kokuhwebelana komhlaba wonke ngo-2009 cishe izikhathi ezi-6 kune-GDP yomhlaba wonke.

Izifunda nezimboni ezahlukene

UColeman Lee, isazi sezomnotho esiphezulu kwiWorld Trade Organisation, utshele izintatheli ukuthi izinga lokuthumela kwamanye amazwe eChina ngesikhathi sodlame liphezulu kunalokho obekulindelwe, kanti isidingo sokungenisa impahla sihlala sizinzile, okube nomthelela ekwandiseni izinga lokuhwebelana kwezindawo zase-Asia.

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ngaphansi kwalolu bhubhane, ukusebenza kokuhweba emhlabeni wonke ezimbonini ezihlukahlukene akufani.Ngekota yesibili, umthamo wokuhwebelana emhlabeni wonke wamafutha kanye nemikhiqizo yezimayini yehle ngama-38% ngenxa yezinto ezinjengokwehla kwentengo nokwehla okukhulu kokusetshenziswa.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, umthamo wokuhweba wemikhiqizo yezolimo njengezidingo zansuku zonke wehle ngo-5% kuphela.Embonini yokukhiqiza, imikhiqizo yezimoto ihlaselwe kakhulu yilolu bhubhane.Ethintwe ukukhubazeka kwe-supply chain kanye nokuncipha kwesidingo sabathengi, isamba sokuhwebelana emhlabeni jikelele kwikota yesibili sehle ngaphezu kwesigamu;phakathi nenkathi efanayo, isikali sohwebo lwamakhompiyutha nemikhiqizo yemithi siye sakhula.Njengenye yezidingo zokuphila kwabantu, izitsha zobumba ezisetshenziswa nsuku zonke zibaluleke kakhulu ekukhiqizeni ngaphansi kwezimo eziwubhubhane.

Amathuba okululama awaqinisekile kakhulu

I-WTO ixwayise ngokuthi ngenxa yentuthuko yesikhathi esizayo yalolu bhubhane kanye nezinyathelo zokulwa nobhubhane ezingase zisetshenziswe amazwe ahlukahlukene, amathuba okululama awakaqiniseki kakhulu.Umbiko obuyekeziwe we-“Global Trade Data and Outlook” wehlise izinga lokukhula kwezohwebo emhlabeni wonke ngo-2021 lisuka ku-21.3% laya ku-7.2%, wagcizelela ukuthi izinga lokuhwebelana ngonyaka ozayo lizoba ngaphansi kakhulu kunezinga langaphambi kwalolu bhubhane.

Umbiko obuyekeziwe we-“Global Trade Data and Outlook” ukholelwa ukuthi esikhathini esimaphakathi, ukuthi umnotho womhlaba ungafinyelela ukusimama okuzinzile kuzoncika kakhulu ekusebenzeni kokutshalwa kwezimali esikhathini esizayo kanye nokuqashwa, kanti ukusebenza kwakho kokubili kuhlobene eduze nokuzethemba kwezinkampani.Uma lolu bhubhane luphindela emuva esikhathini esizayo futhi uhulumeni esebenzisa kabusha izindlela “zokuvimba”, ukuzethemba kwenkampani nakho kuzozanyazanyiswa.

Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ukukhuphuka kwezikweletu zomphakathi nakho kuzothinta ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke nokukhula komnotho, futhi amazwe angathuthukile kangako angase abhekane nomthwalo onzima wezikweletu.